Page 64 - Steel Tech India eMagazine Volume April 2022
P. 64

VOL. 16 • NO. 3 • April 2022

                 duty on a range of finished steel products, both long   semis out of the ambit of export duties.  therefore,
                 and flat products account for almost 95% of India’s   the export of semis, which declined by 26% year-on-
                 overall  finished  steel  exports  in  FY21  and  FY22  and   year (Y-o-Y) in FY2022 to 4.9 Mt is likely to witness a
                 would render exports significantly less attractive going   significant increase in the current fiscal.
                 forward, which in turn could exert pressure on domestic   In  the  case  of iron  ore,  though  the  increased  export
                 steel prices and industry capacity utilization levels.
                                                                    duty is substantial and is incrementally positive from the
                 On the raw material side, the Government has       perspective of better availability of domestic iron ore,
                 increased the export duty on 58% and above Fe grade   it may not be a material shock-absorber as it affects
                 iron ore fines and lumps from 30% to 50% and for iron   the economics of only less than 15% of total iron ore
                 ore pellets, the duty will benow 45% from earlier zero   that was exported by domestic miners in FY2022. Over
                 duty.  the import duty for coking coal and coke has   86% of the iron ore exported by miners in FY22 was
                 been reduced to zero from earlier level of 2.5% and 5%   in the below 58% Fe grade category, which anyway
                 respectively. the duty for Ferronickel has been made   has limited use in domestic steelmaking without further
                 zero from earlier 2.5%.                            processing through beneficiation.

                 In FY2022, Indian mills recorded a 25% Y-o-Y growth   With various downstream industries trying to cope with
                 in  finished  steel  exports  as  they  took  the  benefit  of   the adverse impacts of runaway commodity prices,
                 elevated seaborne prices.  europe, Vietnam and the   domestic steel demand declined by 7.2% month-
                 Middle  east were the three largest destinations for   on-month  in  April  leading  to  domestic  hot-rolled-coil
                 Indian steel exports, together accounting for around   (hRc) prices contracting 12% over the high watermark
                 50% of India’s overall steel exports, including semis.   recorded in the first week of April. Nonetheless, with
                 It is felt that many of these destinations would become   domestic and imported coal prices continuing to remain
                 less attractive now as mills evaluate the economics of   elevated, leading to significant input cost inflation, and
                 a higher duty.                                     domestic demand remaining muted, the imposition of
                                                                    the export duty has come at an unpleasant time for
                 Additionally, with steel export offers for deliveries to
                 europe being higher by 10-11% over more competitive   steelmakers.
                 markets like South-east Asia and the Middle east, the   Following the export duty levy, the pace of execution of
                 adverse impact of the new export duties on steel exports   some of the major expansion projects announced by
                 to europe would be relatively less severe than that of   leading steel plants in India,could slow down as mills’
                 South-east Asia and the Middle eastern markets.    cash flows could weaken significantly going forward if
                                                                    the export duty is maintained over the medium term.
                 Interestingly, the Government has chosen to keep steel































                 62                                                                                     Steel tech
   59   60   61   62   63   64   65   66   67   68   69